Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $21.1K·Volume $20.9K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes22%No78%
Smart money leans
No
78% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
78%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$377 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered85¢78¢at 11:47(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$21.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $377 riding on it.
The price of 78% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 78¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $377 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $37 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $472 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $12 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $8 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | Yes | 15¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $10 |
| 4w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $28 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $333 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $163 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1,174 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $13 |
| 5w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $176 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 68¢ | $408 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 62¢ | $372 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $1 |