Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $1,094·Volume $14.4K·Ends Dec 10, 2026
Price now:Yes33%No67%
Smart money leans
No
67% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
67%price67%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$417 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢67¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 30d(Dec 10, 2026)Liquidity$1,094
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $417 riding on it.
The price of 67% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 67¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $417 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $33 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $55 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 62¢ | $50 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $32 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $44 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $54 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $17 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $48 |
| 7w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $40 |