Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
ActiveLiquidity $1,123·Volume $8,221·Ends Mar 15, 2027
Price now:Yes32%No69%
Smart money leans
No
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$476 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered62¢69¢at 07:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 124d(Mar 15, 2027)Liquidity$1,123
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $476 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 62¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $476 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $69 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $32 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 78¢ | $89 |
| 3w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $581 |