Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?
ActiveLiquidity $356·Volume $2,900·Ends Jun 7, 2027
Price now:Yes39%No61%
Smart money leans
Yes
39% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
39%price39%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$367 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered21¢39¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 208d(Jun 7, 2027)Liquidity$356
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $367 riding on it.
The price of 39% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 21¢; the price was 39¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $367 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $327 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $18 |