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Will Matan Kahana be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

ActiveLiquidity $358·Volume $414·Ends Mar 1, 2027
Price now:Yes82%No19%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,183 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,200
72h +$1,188
Smart money entered93¢93¢at 07:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 110d(Mar 1, 2027)Liquidity$358
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,183 riding on it.

The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,183 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,200, +$1,188 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agocashyMidBuyYes93¢$1,195