Will Maryland have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
ActiveLiquidity $866·Volume $2,558·Ends Dec 27, 2026
Price now:Yes46%No55%
Smart money leans
No
55% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$641 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered66¢55¢at 05:38(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 44d(Dec 27, 2026)Liquidity$866
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $641 riding on it.
The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 66¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $641 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 67¢ | $595 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 58¢ | $157 |
| 6w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | No | 16¢ | $7 |
| 8w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $42 |