Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,140 riding on it.

The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $2,140 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$888, +$2,772 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.