Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
ActiveLiquidity $1,397·Volume $90.6K·Ends Jan 2, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,313 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered82¢96¢at 05:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 2, 2027)Liquidity$1,397
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,313 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,313 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | pantomimeMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $365 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $531 |
| 4w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $187 |
| 6w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $58 |
| 7w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $18 |
| 7w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 2.8¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | pantomimeMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $49 |
| 8w ago | pantomimeMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $85 |
| 8w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $12 |
| 8w ago | pantomimeMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $911 |
| 9w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $3 |
| 10w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $6 |
| 12w ago | shiifooMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $1 |