Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
ActiveLiquidity $29.9K·Volume $44.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2030
Price now:Yes69%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$9,283 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢69¢at 07:17(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 1147d(Jan 1, 2030)Liquidity$29.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $9,283 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $9,283 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.