Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
ActiveLiquidity $280.8K·Volume $1.0M·Ends Jun 20, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
Yes
6% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
6%price6%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$856 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered5.4¢5.5¢at 07:47(9% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 221d(Jun 20, 2027)Liquidity$280.8K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $856 riding on it.
The price of 6% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 5.4¢; the price was 5.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 9% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $856 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $175 |
| 3w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $21 |
| 3w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $96 |
| 3w ago | P1kasoTop | Sell | Yes | 6.0¢ | $300 |
| 3w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $300 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $18 |
| 5w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $21 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $70 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $20 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $82 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 6w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $20 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | ancianoMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $35 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $80 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $41 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $35 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 9w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 9w ago | milkthedipMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $2 |