Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
ActiveLiquidity $2,166·Volume $20.7K·Ends Jun 14, 2027
Price now:Yes54%No46%
Smart money leans
No
46% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.2pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
46%price47%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$373 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$457
Smart money entered47¢46¢at 17:12(0% priced in)Edge left+0.2ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 214d(Jun 14, 2027)Liquidity$2,166
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $373 riding on it.
The price of 46% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 46¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $373 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$457 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $216 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $216 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $42 |
| 6d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $91 |
| 6d ago | milkthedipMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $2 |