Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?
ActiveLiquidity $10.1K·Volume $63.4K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes43%No57%
Smart money leans
No
57% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
92%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
57%price57%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,092 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered61¢57¢at 07:33(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.1K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,092 riding on it.
The price of 57% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 61¢; the price was 57¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,092 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 66¢ | $132 |
| 3w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 48¢ | $216 |
| 3w ago | P1kasoTop | Buy | No | 48¢ | $24 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $632 |
| 3w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $38 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $54 |
| 4w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $7 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 37¢ | $77 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $85 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $87 |
| 5w ago | DreamwireMid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $120 |
| 5w ago | StudyPredictionMid | Buy | No | 60¢ | $57 |