Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?
ActiveLiquidity $903·Volume $8,974·Ends Jul 25, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$484 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$61
72h +$1,324
Smart money entered65¢90¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 257d(Jul 25, 2027)Liquidity$903
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $484 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $484 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$61, +$1,324 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 22h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $18 |
| 22h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $13 |
| 22h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $506 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $506 |