Will Liverpool reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
ActiveLiquidity $1,871·Volume $6,336·Ends Apr 18, 2027
Price now:Yes18%No82%
Smart money leans
No
82% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
82%price82%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$610 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered80¢82¢at 06:35(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 159d(Apr 18, 2027)Liquidity$1,871
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $610 riding on it.
The price of 82% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 82¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $610 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | thefakenickMid | Sell | No | 84¢ | $43 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $6 |
| 6w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $7 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $300 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $16 |
| 6w ago | thefakenickMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $328 |