Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?
ActiveLiquidity $1,744·Volume $42.4K·Ends Apr 16, 2027
Price now:Yes96%No4%
Smart money leans
Yes
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$3,948 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢96¢at 07:03(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 156d(Apr 16, 2027)Liquidity$1,744
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,948 riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,948 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $47 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $951 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $76 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $55 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $112 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $66 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $183 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $1,699 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $252 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 86¢ | $6,928 |