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Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $10.7K·Volume $20.6K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes31%No69%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
32% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
32%price32%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$374 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$237
72h +$484
Smart money entered29¢32¢at 02:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$10.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $374 riding on it.

The price of 32% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 32¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $374 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$237, +$484 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.