Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $2,813·Volume $17.0K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,224
72h +$6,010
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 11:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy19h agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$2,813
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,224, +$6,010 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,912 |
| 19h ago | CoinTrickMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $1,912 |
| 20h ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 20h ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $45 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 100¢ | $45 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $709 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $709 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $65 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $68 |
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 99¢ | $68 |