TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $794·Volume $8,024·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 11:32computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$318
72h +$2,940
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 11:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$794
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$318, +$2,940 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 11:32
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
20h agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$159
20h agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$159
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$1
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$1
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$23
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$23
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$967
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$967
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$37
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo100¢$37
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo99¢$7
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo99¢$7
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo99¢$272
1d agoviniiTopBuyNo99¢$272
2w agoviniiTopSellNo90¢$112
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes14¢$8
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes15¢$8
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes17¢$9
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes17¢$0
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes8.5¢$45
2w agoviniiTopBuyNo78¢$506
2w agoviniiTopBuyNo80¢$135