Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
ActiveLiquidity $4,808·Volume $74.5K·Ends Dec 19, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,567
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:45(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 38d(Dec 19, 2026)Liquidity$4,808
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,567 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $784 |
| 1d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $784 |
| 7w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 85¢ | $520 |
| 7w ago | JSG3Top | Buy | Yes | 84¢ | $449 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 27¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $6 |