Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $11.2K·Volume $13.7K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,054
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 02:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$11.2K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,054 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:51
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $296 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $296 |
| 2d ago | ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $314 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $34 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $8 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $27 |
| 11w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $9 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $6 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $20 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $15 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 81¢ | $27 |
| 12w ago | ancianoMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $16 |