Will Kansas have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
ActiveLiquidity $175·Volume $881·Ends Dec 12, 2026
Price now:Yes67%No34%
Smart money leans
Yes
70% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
70%price70%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$258 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢70¢at 05:37(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 30d(Dec 12, 2026)Liquidity$175
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $258 riding on it.
The price of 70% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 70¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $258 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $315 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $6 |
| 3w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $8 |
| 7w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $15 |
| 8w ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $15 |