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Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $25.0K·Volume $181.2K·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes13%No88%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$2,480 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢88¢at 07:22(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$25.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,480 riding on it.

The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5d agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$10
6d agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$2
6d agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$2
6d agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$2
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$134
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$6
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$40
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$14
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$22
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$36
1w agoancianoMidSellNo84¢$22
2w agoancianoMidBuyNo80¢$80
2w agoMenacingTurtleMidSellYes19¢$1
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyNo81¢$11
3w agoMenacingTurtleMidBuyYes17¢$12
4w agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyYes19¢$100
4w agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyYes19¢$3
4w agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyYes19¢$5
4w agoJAMJAMJAM4MidBuyYes19¢$1
7w agoancianoMidSellYes15¢$51
7w agoancianoMidSellYes15¢$56
7w agoancianoMidBuyNo82¢$98
7w agoancianoMidBuyNo83¢$100
7w agoancianoMidBuyNo84¢$101
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$7
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$7
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$1
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$3
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$4
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$65
7w agoancianoMidSellYes14¢$66
7w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$49
7w agoancianoMidBuyYes12¢$5
7w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$5
8w agoancianoMidBuyYes12¢$2
8w agoancianoMidBuyYes12¢$4
8w agoancianoMidBuyYes12¢$7
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$7
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$8
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$3
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$33
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$65
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$78
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$85
8w agoancianoMidSellYes13¢$94
8w agoancianoMidBuyYes12¢$12
8w agoancianoMidBuyYes11¢$153
8w agoancianoMidSellYes11¢$12
9w agoStudyPredictionMidSellNo91¢$41
9w agoancianoMidSellYes11¢$6