Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 1:59 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $7,374·Volume $50.1K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$228 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,271
72h +$1,271
Smart money entered55¢99¢at 07:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$7,374
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $228 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $228 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,271, +$1,271 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 2HAEMid | Sell | No | 3.0¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | 2HAEMid | Sell | No | 3.0¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 6.0¢ | $30 |
| 1h ago | troimMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $890 |
| 1h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 34¢ | $227 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $84 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 28¢ | $84 |
| 2h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $222 |
| 2h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $222 |
| 2h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $230 |
| 3h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $143 |
| 3h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $143 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $257 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $257 |
| 3h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 42¢ | $42 |
| 3h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | No | 42¢ | $42 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 50¢ | $59 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $182 |
| 4h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $30 |
| 4h ago | 2HAEMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,000 |
| 4h ago | 1walrusMid | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $48 |
| 4h ago | 1walrusMid | Sell | Yes | 14¢ | $48 |
| 5h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $33 |
| 5h ago | 1walrusMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $4 |
| 5h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $352 |
| 5h ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $390 |
| 5h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 68¢ | $340 |
| 6h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $285 |
| 6h ago | pbshineMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $60 |
| 8h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $304 |
| 8h ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | No | 76¢ | $304 |