Will Junts win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $6,738·Volume $3,270·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes16%No84%
Smart money leans
No
84% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
84%price84%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$261 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered80¢84¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$6,738
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $261 riding on it.
The price of 84% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 84¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $261 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 4d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 95¢ | $192 |
| 4d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $444 |