Will Juan Pablo II be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
ActiveLiquidity $634·Volume $2,881·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$350 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$148
Smart money entered99¢98¢at 08:00(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 47d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$634
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $350 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $350 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$148 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xd5a8…9793Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $149 |
| 5d ago | 0x31fe…ad2dMid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | 0x31fe…ad2dMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $196 |
| 1w ago | 0x31fe…ad2dMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $79 |
| 1w ago | 0x31fe…ad2dMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $497 |