Will Joy O'Donnell win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election?
ActiveLiquidity $3,404·Volume $4,596·Ends Dec 7, 2026
Price now:Yes80%No21%
Smart money leans
Yes
79% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price79%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,034 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered70¢79¢at 07:41(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 27d(Dec 7, 2026)Liquidity$3,404
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,034 riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 70¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,034 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $16 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $142 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $97 |
| 4d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $35 |
| 5d ago | Crypto-JoeTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $43 |
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 72¢ | $108 |
| 5d ago | balerinacapuchinaMid | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $280 |
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 70¢ | $382 |
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 71¢ | $24 |
| 5d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $406 |
| 5d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 70¢ | $527 |
| 5d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $14 |
| 6d ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $809 |