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Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

ActiveLiquidity $1,086·Volume $59.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:24computed 2h ago
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$642 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 07:24(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,086
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $642 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $642 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:24
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4d agopantomimeMidBuyNo97¢$483
8w agoshiifooMidBuyNo83¢$117
8w agoshiifooMidBuyNo83¢$167
8w agoshiifooMidBuyNo80¢$44
8w agoshiifooMidBuyYes10¢$21
11w agoshiifooMidBuyYes14¢$4