Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $829·Volume $7,979·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes13%No88%
Smart money leans
No
88% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
88%price88%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$328 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢88¢at 03:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$829
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $328 riding on it.
The price of 88% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 88¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $328 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.