Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $22.1K·Volume $6,153·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes27%No73%
Smart money leans
No
73% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$438 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢73¢at 06:43(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$22.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $438 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $438 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $456 |