Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?
ActiveLiquidity $1,020·Volume $24.6K·Ends Jul 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
85% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
85%price85%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,154 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢85¢at 00:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 232d(Jul 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,020
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,154 riding on it.
The price of 85% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 85¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,154 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | ndb1Mid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $85 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $12 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1 |
| 4w ago | ndb1Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $65 |
| 12w ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |