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Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

ActiveLiquidity $19.9K·Volume $93.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:37computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$483 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered88¢96¢at 03:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$19.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $483 riding on it.

The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $483 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:37
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d agoponydsbMidSellNo96¢$4
1w agoponydsbMidSellNo96¢$15
1w agoponydsbMidSellNo96¢$7
2w agoponydsbMidSellNo96¢$5
2w agoponydsbMidSellNo97¢$14
10w agoponydsbMidBuyNo94¢$45
11w agowhigTopBuyNo88¢$483