Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in November?
ActiveLiquidity $889·Volume $787·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
72% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
65%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$350 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$834
Smart money entered61¢72¢at 00:42Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 21d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$889
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "No", with $350 riding on it.
The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 61¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $350 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$834 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:42
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $350 |
| 1d ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $350 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $184 |
| 2d ago | YoungAlphaGoatTop | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $15 |