Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $548·Volume $6,280·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes36%No65%
Smart money leans
No
65% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$322 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered73¢65¢at 07:29(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$548
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $322 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $322 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 72¢ | $166 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $25 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 82¢ | $202 |
| 3w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $237 |
| 5w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $30 |
| 6w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $176 |