Will Iraq win Group D at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
ActiveLiquidity $1,381·Volume $6,173·Ends Feb 6, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$628
72h +$628
Smart money entered90¢94¢at 21:47(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 87d(Feb 6, 2027)Liquidity$1,381
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$628, +$628 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:47
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 5h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 6w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $82 |