Will Iran win Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
ActiveLiquidity $9,985·Volume $21.3K·Ends Feb 6, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$900 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$979
Smart money entered90¢98¢at 20:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 87d(Feb 6, 2027)Liquidity$9,985
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $900 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $900 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$979 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 4h ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 2d ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $900 |
| 1w ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Sell | No | 99¢ | $429 |
| 1w ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 39¢ | $8 |
| 1w ago | 0xd37d84a14d70ac7300defe9997074b3b3fd7c70Top | Buy | No | 20¢ | $88 |
| 2w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 17¢ | $3 |