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Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $1,152·Volume $3,540·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes78%No22%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 19:23computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
16% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$294 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$546
72h +$546
Smart money entered26¢16¢at 19:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1,152
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $294 riding on it.

The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $294 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$546, +$546 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 19:23
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo17¢$10
2h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo17¢$10
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$1
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$1
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$2
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$2
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$2
3h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo15¢$2
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo14¢$70
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo14¢$70
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo13¢$1
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo13¢$1
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo12¢$5
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo12¢$5
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo11¢$4
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo11¢$4
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo12¢$37
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo12¢$37
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo10¢$3
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo10¢$3
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo10¢$9
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo10¢$9
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo23¢$2
4h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo23¢$2
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$7
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$7
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$7
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo44¢$7
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo44¢$7
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$13
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$13
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$18
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$30
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo43¢$9
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo43¢$9
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$18
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$30
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$21
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$4
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$4
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo43¢$51
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo43¢$51
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$48
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$48
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo45¢$87
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo38¢$3
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo38¢$3
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo40¢$2
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo40¢$2
6h agoJokerTheClownTopBuyNo40¢$9