Will Iran target Oman by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,152·Volume $3,540·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes78%No22%
Smart money leans
No
16% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
16%price16%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$294 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$546
72h +$546
Smart money entered26¢16¢at 19:23(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1,152
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $294 riding on it.
The price of 16% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 16¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $294 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$546, +$546 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 19:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 17¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 17¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 15¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 14¢ | $70 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 14¢ | $70 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 13¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $4 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $37 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 12¢ | $37 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $3 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $9 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 23¢ | $2 |
| 4h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 23¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 44¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $13 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $30 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $18 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $30 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $21 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $51 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $51 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $48 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $48 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $87 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 38¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | JokerTheClownTop | Buy | No | 40¢ | $9 |