Will Iran target Iraq by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1·Volume $0·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes72%No28%
Smart money leans
Yes
72% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
72%price72%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$135 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$289
72h +$289
Smart money entered67¢72¢at 06:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $135 riding on it.
The price of 72% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 72¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $135 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$289, +$289 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $135 |
| 4h ago | congoterrierMid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $135 |