Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
ActiveLiquidity $31.4K·Volume $65.9K·Ends Nov 17, 2026
Price now:Yes60%No40%
Smart money leans
Yes
61% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
56%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
61%price61%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$292 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered53¢61¢at 07:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 7d(Nov 17, 2026)Liquidity$31.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is narrowly leaning toward betting on "Yes", with $292 riding on it.
The price of 61% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 61¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $292 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | MeckyMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $297 |
| 4w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | No | 37¢ | $221 |
| 7w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 35¢ | $246 |
| 9w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 45¢ | $5 |
| 9w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | No | 43¢ | $82 |