Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?
ActiveLiquidity $26.8K·Volume $8,474·Ends Feb 7, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$445 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered89¢89¢at 07:06(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 88d(Feb 7, 2027)Liquidity$26.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $445 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $445 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:06
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $445 |