Will France win 2026-27 Nations League Group A1?
ActiveLiquidity $4,869·Volume $12.2K·Ends Dec 2, 2026
Price now:Yes83%No17%
Smart money leans
Yes
83% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
83%price83%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,048 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered80¢83¢at 01:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 21d(Dec 2, 2026)Liquidity$4,869
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,048 riding on it.
The price of 83% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 83¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,048 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:59