Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $1,426·Volume $5,947·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes65%No35%
Smart money leans
Yes
65% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
65%price65%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$575 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered49¢65¢at 07:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$1,426
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $575 riding on it.
The price of 65% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 65¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $575 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.