Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of December 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $757·Volume $5,001·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes69%No31%
Smart money leans
Yes
69% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$567 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered73¢69¢at 11:30(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$757
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $567 riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $567 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.