Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $83.4K·Volume $684.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 21:27Smart money exiting · $6,742 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$11.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$6,742
72h -$6,742
Smart money entered92¢98¢at 21:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$83.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $11.5K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $11.5K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$6,742, -$6,742 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 21:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $3,393 |
| 8h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 98¢ | $3,393 |
| 5d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 97¢ | $782 |
| 8w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 85¢ | $187 |
| 10w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 83¢ | $82 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1,917 |