Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $84.4K·Volume $1.1M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$68.5K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered67¢96¢at 20:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$84.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $68.5K riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $68.5K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $247 |
| 1w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $9,043 |
| 3w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 85¢ | $673 |
| 4w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $520 |
| 5w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $35 |
| 5w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $18,746 |
| 5w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $592 |
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 63¢ | $6,463 |
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 62¢ | $544 |
| 6w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 62¢ | $541 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $344 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $490 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $123 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $2,936 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $5,872 |
| 6w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $5,872 |
| 7w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 36¢ | $720 |
| 7w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $1,436 |
| 7w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $142 |
| 7w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 57¢ | $60 |
| 7w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 60¢ | $1,800 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 74¢ | $171 |
| 7w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 77¢ | $85 |
| 8w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 71¢ | $241 |
| 8w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 74¢ | $11,294 |
| 9w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $368 |
| 11w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 86¢ | $1,942 |