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Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in November?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $46.7K·Volume $6,394·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes68%No33%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 18:50computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
33% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
33%price33%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$328 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$497
72h +$497
Smart money entered26¢33¢at 18:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 15d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$46.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $328 riding on it.

The price of 33% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 26¢; the price was 33¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $328 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$497, +$497 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 18:50
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes64¢$3
3h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidSellNo37¢$7
3h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes63¢$3
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes66¢$3
4h agox6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4MidBuyNo32¢$41
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo32¢$2
4h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo33¢$2
6h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo23¢$1
8h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes72¢$4
8h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes73¢$4
8h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes73¢$4
8h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes74¢$4
8h agoTokorTopBuyNo25¢$71
8h agoTokorTopBuyNo25¢$71
15h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes70¢$4
15h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes71¢$4
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes70¢$4
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes71¢$4
17h agoTokorTopBuyNo26¢$218
19h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes55¢$38
19h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes55¢$38
20h agoTokorTopBuyNo42¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo52¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo51¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo52¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo52¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo54¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo52¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo52¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo53¢$3
20h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo53¢$3
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes50¢$8
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes48¢$2
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes49¢$2
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes49¢$2
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes49¢$5
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes49¢$5
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes52¢$10
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes48¢$7
22h agoCleanCoinFlipMidSellYes61¢$3
1d agoCleanCoinFlipMidBuyYes74¢$4
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes79¢$4
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes78¢$4
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes79¢$4
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo8.0¢$0
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo9.0¢$0