Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?
ActiveLiquidity $45.5K·Volume $65.2K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes30%No71%
Smart money leans
No
69% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
69%price69%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$17.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$79
72h +$4,090
Smart money entered78¢69¢at 02:35(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy8h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$45.5K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $17.7K riding on it.
The price of 69% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 69¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$79, +$4,090 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $36 |
| 8h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $1 |
| 8h ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $1 |
| 9h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $1,337 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $4,260 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $506 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $506 |
| 1d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $305 |
| 1d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $305 |
| 2d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 66¢ | $618 |
| 2d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $14 |
| 4d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $52 |
| 4d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $480 |
| 4d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $63 |
| 5d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $46 |
| 5d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $232 |
| 6d ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $145 |
| 6d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $72 |
| 6d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 88¢ | $94 |
| 6d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $254 |
| 6d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $48 |
| 6d ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $96 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $2,241 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $2,430 |
| 1w ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $551 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $13 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 81¢ | $366 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 82¢ | $1,009 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $2,460 |
| 1w ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $558 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $2,490 |
| 1w ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $564 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $2,490 |
| 1w ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 83¢ | $352 |
| 1w ago | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $571 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $851 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | getbippedMid | Buy | No | 82¢ | $229 |