Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $62.4K·Volume $884.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
Yes
27% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price27%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$79.2K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$31.3K
72h +$39.4K
Smart money entered21¢27¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy10h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$62.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $79.2K riding on it.
The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 21¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$31.3K, +$39.4K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $604 |
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $777 |
| 10h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 11h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $83 |
| 11h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 34¢ | $83 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $35 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $70 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $503 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $503 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $7 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $223 |
| 16h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $223 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $7 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $7 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $7 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $32 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $249 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $261 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1,137 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1,194 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1,680 |
| 18h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $1,765 |
| 22h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5,000 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $122 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $116 |
| 22h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5,000 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $789 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $789 |
| 22h ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 22h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $2,500 |
| 23h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $1,000 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $2,500 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $2,500 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $750 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $780 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $780 |
| 1d ago | getbippedMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $840 |