Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in November?
ActiveLiquidity $39.1K·Volume $108.8K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$24.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$3,298
72h -$953
Smart money entered91¢91¢at 22:46(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$39.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $24.7K riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $24.7K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$3,298, -$953 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $787 |
| 9h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 91¢ | $787 |
| 10h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,712 |
| 2d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,371 |
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9,130 |
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $3,652 |
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9,157 |
| 4d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $324 |
| 6d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Top | Buy | No | 96¢ | $2,888 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,006 |
| 1w ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $104 |