Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?
ActiveLiquidity $4,142·Volume $4,575·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes7%No94%
Smart money leans
No
94% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
94%price94%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$760 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered92¢94¢at 07:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$4,142
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $760 riding on it.
The price of 94% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 94¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $760 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $11 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $47 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $38 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $10 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $38 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $88 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $38 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $47 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $19 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $4 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $869 |
| 8w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 9w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $91 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $18 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $56 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 10w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $292 |