Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?
ActiveLiquidity $22.5K·Volume $5,358·Ends Nov 30, 2026
Price now:Yes34%No66%
Smart money leans
No
66% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
66%price66%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$330
Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 19d(Nov 30, 2026)Liquidity$22.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 66% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$330 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:02
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 64¢ | $320 |
| 3d ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 41¢ | $104 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $141 |
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $312 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $135 |
| 1w ago | longliveapplesTop | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $4 |